Economists Offer Supply, Price Projections through
University of Missouri Extension Economist Ron Plain and
David Miller, with the Iowa Farm Bureau, conduct an annual survey of
members of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA).
Their survey goes to Extension marketing economists who are members of
the AAEA’s Extension Section, and the focus is on the supplies and
prices of many commodities. The results of the 2010 survey were
released at the AAEA annual meeting held last week in Denver.
The average responses of the surveyed economists regarding cattle, hog
and chicken output and projected prices appear in Table 1. The column
headed “N” indicates the number of respondents for each item.
Pork Supplies Edge Upward
The nine analysts providing pork supply and price forecasts look for
pork supplies to begin growing in Q2 of next year and continue the rest
of the year near 1% higher than in 2010. Total 2010 pork production is
expected to increase 0.9%. This reversal of the production trend is
very close to my forecasts, except that I expect slight growth in output
Survey respondents also expect 2010 production to end the year 3.3%
lower than in 2009, so even with a short 1% growth, 2011 output will
remain significantly lower than that of 2009.
Identifying Edema Disease Takes Careful Diagnosis
Edema disease (gut edema) has been recognized for over 70
years. Despite having a good understanding of the toxin-producing
Escherichia coli (E. coli) that causes this disease, it remains a risk
for all pork production systems and remains a major frustration when it
Sudden deaths in the nursery may signal an outbreak of edema disease,
albeit there are many other possible causes. Clinical signs of common
causes of sudden death and/or nervous signs in nursery pigs is depicted
in Table 1.
Very careful examination of individual pigs usually reveals the early
clinical signs that may be useful for diagnosis. With edema disease,
others in the group may have eyelid edema (Figure 1), unsteady gait, or
be found down with central nervous system (CNS) signs. Normally, they do
not have a fever.
Over Dust Standards
Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and 20 other senators have
asked the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to use common sense when
considering future regulations regarding dust and U.S. agriculture.
EPA scientists, in a draft policy assessment published earlier this
month, said EPA would be justified in “retaining or revising”
standards for the type of coarse dust commonly produced by farming
operations. In a letter to EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson, the senators
stated, “Producers could potentially be fined for not meeting the PM
(particulate matter) standards, while still practicing good management
practices on their soils. Considering the administration’s focus on
rural America and rural economic development, a proposal such as this
could have a negative effect on those very goals. If the EPA publishes a
rule that regulates dust at these low levels, excessive dust control
measures could be imposed, which could slow economic development and
impose significant costs to farmers and businesses. Since EPA would be
justified in retaining the current standard, then the current standard
should be retained.”
Mandatory Price Reporting — The House Agriculture Committee
passed H.R. 5852, the “Mandatory Price Reporting Act of 2010.” The
legislation renews mandatory price reporting for beef, pork, lamb, and
adds dairy products for five years. The legislation modifies existing
law by requiring Mandatory Reporting of Wholesale Pork (MRWP) cuts in
order to expand transparency in the pork industry. It also requires
USDA to establish an electronic price reporting system for dairy
products within one year. Congressman Collin Peterson (D-MN), chairman
of the House Agriculture Committee said, “Mandatory price reporting
programs ensure that producers have access to transparent, accurate and
timely market information that helps them make the best decisions for
their business. There is broad support from producer, packer and
processor groups to reauthorize these programs." Similar legislation
has been introduced in the Senate by Senators Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and
Saxby Chambliss (R-GA).
Regulatory Update Conference Scheduled for Sept. 7 in
The Iowa Pork Producers Asociation (IPPA), in
collaboration with Iowa State University Extension and Phibro Animal
Health, are offering an update on regulatory information for pork
producers and allied industry representatives Sept. 7.
The session runs from 1 p.m. to 4: 30 p.m. Sept. 7 at the Iowa State
Center Scheman Building in Ames. Preregistration is requested.
Eldon McAfee, IPPA legal counsel with Beving, Swanson & Forrest, Des
Moines, will discuss current regulations, nuisance cases and ongoing
rulemaking and policy procedures affecting Iowa producers.
Aug. 24, 2010: “Doing Things Right:
Farming for the Future,” sponsored by the Coalition to Support
Iowa’s Farmers (CSIF), Best Western Starlite Village, Fort Dodge, IA
For more information contact: CSIF at (515) 225-5515 or email@example.com .
August 30-31, 2010: Joint Strategy Forum on Animal
Disease Traceability, Renaissance Denver Hotel, Denver, CO
For more information go to: www.animalagriculture.org or
August 31, 2010: 20th Annual Carthage Veterinary
Service, Ltd. Swine Conference, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL
For more information contact: (217) 357-2811 or go to www.hogvet.com.
According to a head-to-head trial1,
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1. Data on file, Study Report No. 768-9690-0-CPC-97-002, Pfizer
NPPC works diligently to protect and promote the interests
of America’s pork producers who in turn provide safe, nutritious pork
to domestic and foreign markets, generating thousands of jobs and more
than $30 billion of gross national product to the U.S. economy.
Click here to see how NPPC is working for you.
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