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August 2, 2010
In this issue:
  Economists Offer Supply, Price Projections through 2011
  Identifying Edema Disease Takes Careful Diagnosis
  Dust-Up Over Dust Standards
  Regulatory Update Conference Scheduled for Sept. 7 in Iowa

Economists Offer Supply, Price Projections through 2011
University of Missouri Extension Economist Ron Plain and David Miller, with the Iowa Farm Bureau, conduct an annual survey of members of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (AAEA). Their survey goes to Extension marketing economists who are members of the AAEA’s Extension Section, and the focus is on the supplies and prices of many commodities. The results of the 2010 survey were released at the AAEA annual meeting held last week in Denver.

The average responses of the surveyed economists regarding cattle, hog and chicken output and projected prices appear in Table 1. The column headed “N” indicates the number of respondents for each item.

Pork Supplies Edge Upward
The nine analysts providing pork supply and price forecasts look for pork supplies to begin growing in Q2 of next year and continue the rest of the year near 1% higher than in 2010. Total 2010 pork production is expected to increase 0.9%. This reversal of the production trend is very close to my forecasts, except that I expect slight growth in output in Q1-2011.

Survey respondents also expect 2010 production to end the year 3.3% lower than in 2009, so even with a short 1% growth, 2011 output will remain significantly lower than that of 2009.


Identifying Edema Disease Takes Careful Diagnosis
Edema disease (gut edema) has been recognized for over 70 years. Despite having a good understanding of the toxin-producing Escherichia coli (E. coli) that causes this disease, it remains a risk for all pork production systems and remains a major frustration when it occurs.

Sudden deaths in the nursery may signal an outbreak of edema disease, albeit there are many other possible causes. Clinical signs of common causes of sudden death and/or nervous signs in nursery pigs is depicted in Table 1.

Very careful examination of individual pigs usually reveals the early clinical signs that may be useful for diagnosis. With edema disease, others in the group may have eyelid edema (Figure 1), unsteady gait, or be found down with central nervous system (CNS) signs. Normally, they do not have a fever.


Dust-Up Over Dust Standards
Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and 20 other senators have asked the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to use common sense when considering future regulations regarding dust and U.S. agriculture. EPA scientists, in a draft policy assessment published earlier this month, said EPA would be justified in “retaining or revising” standards for the type of coarse dust commonly produced by farming operations. In a letter to EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson, the senators stated, “Producers could potentially be fined for not meeting the PM (particulate matter) standards, while still practicing good management practices on their soils. Considering the administration’s focus on rural America and rural economic development, a proposal such as this could have a negative effect on those very goals. If the EPA publishes a rule that regulates dust at these low levels, excessive dust control measures could be imposed, which could slow economic development and impose significant costs to farmers and businesses. Since EPA would be justified in retaining the current standard, then the current standard should be retained.”

Mandatory Price Reporting — The House Agriculture Committee passed H.R. 5852, the “Mandatory Price Reporting Act of 2010.” The legislation renews mandatory price reporting for beef, pork, lamb, and adds dairy products for five years. The legislation modifies existing law by requiring Mandatory Reporting of Wholesale Pork (MRWP) cuts in order to expand transparency in the pork industry. It also requires USDA to establish an electronic price reporting system for dairy products within one year. Congressman Collin Peterson (D-MN), chairman of the House Agriculture Committee said, “Mandatory price reporting programs ensure that producers have access to transparent, accurate and timely market information that helps them make the best decisions for their business. There is broad support from producer, packer and processor groups to reauthorize these programs." Similar legislation has been introduced in the Senate by Senators Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) and Saxby Chambliss (R-GA).


Regulatory Update Conference Scheduled for Sept. 7 in Iowa
The Iowa Pork Producers Asociation (IPPA), in collaboration with Iowa State University Extension and Phibro Animal Health, are offering an update on regulatory information for pork producers and allied industry representatives Sept. 7.

The session runs from 1 p.m. to 4: 30 p.m. Sept. 7 at the Iowa State Center Scheman Building in Ames. Preregistration is requested.

Eldon McAfee, IPPA legal counsel with Beving, Swanson & Forrest, Des Moines, will discuss current regulations, nuisance cases and ongoing rulemaking and policy procedures affecting Iowa producers.


Aug. 24, 2010: “Doing Things Right: Farming for the Future,” sponsored by the Coalition to Support Iowa’s Farmers (CSIF), Best Western Starlite Village, Fort Dodge, IA
For more information contact: CSIF at (515) 225-5515 or .

August 30-31, 2010: Joint Strategy Forum on Animal Disease Traceability, Renaissance Denver Hotel, Denver, CO
For more information go to: or

August 31, 2010: 20th Annual Carthage Veterinary Service, Ltd. Swine Conference, Western Illinois University, Macomb, IL
For more information contact: (217) 357-2811 or go to



As positive margins return to pork producers’ ledgers, owners and managers are recounting the hard lessons learned as they redouble efforts to improve risk management skills, measure and manage production variance with greater precision, and produce quality pork in a safe and sustainable manner. At the heart of the 50th edition in the Blueprint series, published April 15th, 2010, is a focus on new and improved pathways to profitability.

According to a head-to-head trial1, LINCOMIX® (lincomycin) is equally as efficacious for ileitis control at 40 g/T as Tylan® is at 100 g/T. That means you’ll spend a whopping 40% less for comparable results. Contact your veterinarian or your Pfizer Animal Health representative to learn more.
1. Data on file, Study Report No. 768-9690-0-CPC-97-002, Pfizer Inc.


The July 15 edition of National Hog Farmer features 10 “practical, common sense” new products that found favor with our independent review panel. Four industry experts – a pork producer, a swine veterinarian, a swine nutritionist and an Extension agricultural engineer – reviewed 19 new products nominated and introduced at the 2010 World Pork Expo in Des Moines. To read the full story, go to:

NPPC works diligently to protect and promote the interests of America’s pork producers who in turn provide safe, nutritious pork to domestic and foreign markets, generating thousands of jobs and more than $30 billion of gross national product to the U.S. economy. Click here to see how NPPC is working for you.


National Hog Farmer offers 10 posters targeting key production areas, offering guidance in critical areas such as feet and leg soundness and reproduction traits soundness in replacement gilts. Others include pig anatomy, heat detection, sow condition, etc. All posters are in English. Select posters are translated to Spanish, Chinese and Japanese.


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