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National Hog Farmer Weekly Preview
December 26, 2011
In this issue:
  Best Wishes in the New Year
  Price Volatility Tempers Hogs and Pigs Projections
  Russia's WTO Membership Advances
  Iowa Pork Congress Planned for Jan. 25-26

Best Wishes in the New Year
National Hog Farmer, our weekly contributors, and the sponsors of Weekly Preview would like to take this opportunity to wish everyone a

Happy, Healthy and Prosperous New Year

Dale Miller, Editor
National Hog Farmer

Steve R. Meyer, Ph.D.
Paragon Economics, Inc.
author of Marketing Preview

Ron Ketchem and Mark Rix
Swine Management Services, LLC
authors of Production Preview

Mark Greenwood
swine industry consultant
author of Financial Preview

P. Scott Shearer
Vice President
Bockorny Group
Washington, DC
author of Legislative Preview

Kent Schwartz, DVM
Iowa State University Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory
author of Swine Health Preview

Jim Collins, DVM
University of Minnesota Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory
author of Swine Health Preview

Jim Herlihy and staff
U.S. Meat Export Federation
authors of Port Export Preview

National Hog Farmer would like to thank our sponsors: Agritec Software. Boehringer Ingelheim Vetmedica Inc, Genetiporc, Lallemand, Merck Animal Health, National Pork Producers Council, Newport Laboratories, Novus, Pfizer Animal Health, PIC, Poet and USA Solutions.

Steve Meyer's analysis of the USDA's Dec. 23 Hogs & Pigs Report follows:

Price Volatility Tempers Hogs and Pigs Projections
Steve R. Meyer, Ph.D., Paragon Economics, Inc.

USDA's December Hogs and Pigs report contained estimates that were very much in line with analysts' expectations. The report is considered neutral by most observers. We agree with that assessment through summer, but the report suggests that Q4-2012 supplies may be lower than we had previously anticipated.

The report was released while Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group Lean Hogs trading pits were still open on Friday and prices for most contracts gained 40 to 60 cents/cwt. That suggests the numbers were just a bit lower than was "in the market" on Friday. This marks the first time we can remember that a Hogs and Pigs report was released while trading pits werestill open, although the situation is not very different from the last few years when report releases came while electronic markets were still trading. The advent of electronic markets and the volume they carry may have made after-the-market releases a thing of the past.


Russia's WTO Membership Advances
P. Scott Shearer, Vice President, Bockorny Group

The World Trade Organization (WTO) accepted it's Working Party's report to accept Russia as a member. U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk said, "Russia's accession is good for the United States, good for Russia, and good for the WTO. Russia's market access commitments and the steps that it is taking with regard to intellectual property rights, information technology, sanitary and phytosanitary transparency, and the full range of WTO rules and disciplines will create a new and stronger basis for conducting trade relations between our countries." Russia's Parliament will have to ratify its membership to the WTO. Congress will have to pass Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status for Russia for the United States to benefit from the agreement. Russia is the world's-largest economy that is not a member of the WTO.

Growth in Agricultural Productivity & Changing Organization of U.S. Farming — U.S. agricultural productivity has increased by nearly 50% since 1982, while using less land and labor, according to the findings of USDA's Economic Research Service's (ERS) study, "The Changing Organization of U.S. Farming." Innovations in farm organization, business arrangements and production practices have allowed farmers to produce more with less, the study notes. The use of genetically engineered seeds and no-till have allowed producers to reduce the use of machinery, fuel and pesticides.


Iowa Pork Congress Planned for Jan. 25-26
The Iowa Pork Producers Association (IPPA) will hold the 2012 Iowa Pork Congress Jan. 25 and 26 at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines.

The nation’s largest winter swine trade show and conference will be held in Hy-Vee Hall at the Iowa Events Center, as well as the Polk County Convention Complex. Pork Congress hours will be 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. Jan. 25 and 9 a.m. to 4 p.m. Jan. 26. The Iowa Pork Foundation’s annual Kickoff Reception and Auction will be held at Hy-Vee Hall Jan. 24 and the IPPA Youth Swine Judging contest will be held at the county convention complex Jan. 26.


January 25th - 26th, 2012: The Iowa Pork Producers Association (IPPA) will hold the 2012 Iowa Pork Congress Jan. 25 and 26 at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines

March 19-21, 2012: Annual meeting of the Midwestern Sections of the American Dairy Science Association and the American Society of Animal Science, Hy-Vee Hall and Veterans Memorial, Des Moines, IA. For more information contact:

NPPC conducts public-policy outreach on behalf of its 43 state associations, enhancing opportunities for the success of U.S. pork producers and stakeholders by establishing the pork industry as a consistent and responsible supplier of high-quality pork to domestic and world markets. Click here to learn more and support your industry.


The October 15, 2011 Blueprint edition of National Hog Farmer tackles the new industry target of 30 pigs/sow/year (P/S/Y). As producers strive to achieve the lofty milestone, new challenges and new debates arise. With the push to increase reproductive efficiency, the health and dietary demands on sows becomes increasingly important, the impact on pig flow and facilities is magnified, and the bar to capture full genetic potential is raised. This special edition and more is posted at

MINTREX® Cu helps optimize antimicrobial effects in the GI tract resulting in improved gut health, mineral absorption and nutrient utilization in pigs. Research indicates MINTREX Cu, fed at 80 parts per million through the finishing period, improves ADG and feed/gain ration while also generating heavier carcass weights.


The December 15, 2011 edition of National Hog Farmer features over 20 research reports including sows’ response to several grouping options; alternative biofilter media to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions; how blast chilling inhibits pork tenderness; the impact of fatty acids in gestation diets; energy-saving alternatives for facilities; and the impact of a modified-live virus vaccine on PRRS shedding. Those articles and more are posted at

"Documented effects of Levucell® SB include the ability to improve digestive transit which in turn helps the sow get on feed quicker the first week of lactation and increases feed intake through lactation, which helps reduce sow weight loss and produces heavier piglets at weaning. Studies show sows fed Levucell SB have fewer days to estrus."


National Hog Farmer offers 10 posters targeting key production areas, offering guidance in critical areas such as feet and leg soundness and reproduction traits soundness in replacement gilts. Others include pig anatomy, heat detection, sow condition, etc. All posters are in English. Select posters are translated to Spanish, Chinese and Japanese.



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